When Strong Selling Makes New Highs

We've shared 2 order flow patterns that we find extremely valuable: order flow reversals and order flow drives. Order flow reversals are characterized by changes in the dominant flow: from selling to buying or buying to selling. Order flow drives are caused by strong, correlated, and unidirectional order flow that can drive the market to new highs or lows.

Dominant buying or selling over a range is usually but not always indicative of the direction the market will go when the range breaks. This selling over a range can be tracked using summary stats on the V.I.T. However, there are certain places where limit order traders like to rest their orders and where dominant selling is more likely to produce a drive higher. These are the areas near previous pivot highs in a up trending market and near prior pivot lows in a down trending market. It is during these areas that often going against the transient order flow will often be the right choice. In general staying with the dominant flow and trading against the transient flow can be a successful strategy.

The lesson: Like all trading, order flow is very context sensitive. Keep in mind when watching the order flow whether we're at a new high, low, or near a previous pivot low.

 

 

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 12:33:00 PM Categories: education

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Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.